My New Blog

New Conforming Loan Limits!!
March 7th, 2008 11:28 AM

High-cost mortgages just got cheaper

Freddie and Fannie can now purchase loans worth as much as $793,000, while the FHA can insure loans for up to $729,000.

By Les Christie, CNNMoney.com staff writer

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Mortgage costs just got cheaper for buyers in high-cost areas.

The size of loans that can be guaranteed by Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae was raised today by the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight. The new, higher loan limits will stay in effect through the end of the year, allowing the government sponsored enterprises (GSEs), to buy much higher-priced mortgages in some areas of the country.

Also today, the size of the loans that the Federal Housing Authority (FHA) can insure was raised by Housing and Urban Development (HUD).

Both moves will lower borrowing costs for buyers of higher priced homes, and aim to boost flagging real estate markets.

Previously, Fannie and Freddie could only insure mortgages of up to $417,000, called conforming loans. That meant, assuming a 20% down payment, that only buyers of homes costing $521,500 or less were eligible for mortgages with GSE backing.

The new loan limits for Fannie and Freddie vary by area based on local median home prices and go as high as $793,750 in Honolulu. (For details, see table below).

Loan limits for FHA-insured loans were even lower; no more than $362,790. Now mortgages of up to $729,750 will qualify for FHA insurance.

The problem was that there are whole swaths of the nation where the typical home cost far more than that, and non-conforming or "jumbo loans" carry interest rates of about a point higher. For a $500,000 mortgage, that's an additional spending of $330 a month.

In many parts of the country prices are much higher. In San Jose, Calif, the median priced home costs nearly $850,000, according to the latest figures from the National Association of Realtors. In San Francisco, the figure is nearly $780,000; in Anaheim, Calif.; $657,000; in Honolulu $625,000; and in the New York metro area, $525,000. That means more than half the loans in those markets would not qualify under conforming loan limits.

"Families in high-cost states have been priced out of FHA-backed loans," HUD Secretary Alphonso Jackson said earlier today, in a speech before the Las Vegas Association of Realtors. "This has created a vacuum, filled by exotic subprime loans."

During the liquidity squeeze that began during the summer of 2007, jumbo loans became very difficult to find even for well-qualified borrowers. that made it hard to buy homes in certain regions, freezing up real estate markets.

By making it easier for buyers to get loans, regulators hope to get these markets moving again.

The new loan limits affect 71 metropolitan areas, as well as 21 counties outside of those metro areas. To top of page

New loan limits for Fannie and Freddie
State Metro Area - County Limit 1-Unit
AZ Flagstaff (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: Coconino
$450,000
CA Bishop (Micropolitan Area)
Component County: Inyo
$437,500
CA Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties: Los Angeles, Orange
$729,750
CA Madera (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: Madera
$425,000
CA Merced (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: Merced
$472,500
CA Modesto (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: Stanislaus
$423,750
CA Napa (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: Napa
$729,750
CA Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: Ventura
$729,750
CA Phoenix Lake-Cedar Ridge (Micropolitan Area)
Component County: Tuolumne
$437,500
CA Redding (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: Shasta
$423,750
CA Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties: Riverside, San Bernardino
$500,000
CA Sacramento--Arden-Arcade--Roseville (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties: El Dorado, Placer, Sacramento, Yolo
$580,000
CA Salinas (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: Monterey
$729,750
CA San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: San Diego
$697,500
CA San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties: Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, San Francisco, San Mateo
$729,750
CA San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties: San Benito, Santa Clara
$729,750
CA San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: San Luis Obispo
$687,500
CA Santa Barbara-Santa Maria-Goleta (Metropolitan Area)
Component Couny: Santa Barbara
$729,750
CA Santa Cruz-Watsonville (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: Santa Cruz
$729,750
CA Santa Rosa-Petaluma (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: Sonoma
$662,500
CA Stockton (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: San Joaquin
$488,750
CA Truckee-Grass Valley (Micropolitan Area)
Component County: Nevada
$562,500
CA Ukiah (Micropolitan Area)
Component County: Mendocino
$512,500
CA Vallejo-Fairfield (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: Solano
$557,500
CA Yuba City (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties: Sutter, Yuba
$425,000
CA Alpine County $547,500
CA Amador County $443,750
CA Calaveras County $462,500
CA Mono County $462,500
CO Boulder (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: Boulder
$460,000
CO Durango (Micropolitan Area)
Component County: La Plata
$443,750
CO Edwards (Micropolitan Area)
Component Counties: Eagle, Lake
$729,750
CO Greeley (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: Weld
$417,500
CO Silverthorne (Micropolitan Area)
Component County: Summit
$729,750
CO Garfield County $425,000
CO Hinsdale County $557,500
CO Ouray County $482,500
CO Pitkin County $729,750
CO Routt County $675,000
CO San Juan County $425,000
CO San Miguel County $651,250
CT Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: Fairfield
$708,750
CT Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: Hartford, Middlesex, Tolland
$440,000
DC Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV (Metropolitan Area)
Component Areas (DC): District of Columbia
$729,750
DE Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD (Metropolitan Area)
Component County (DE): New Castle
$420,000
FL Key West (Micropolitan Area)
Component County: Monroe
$729,750
FL Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties: Broward, Miami-Dade, Palm Beach
$423,750
FL Naples-Marco Island (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties: Collier
$531,250
FL Sarasota-Bradenton-Venice (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties: Manatee, Sarasota
$442,500
GA Greene County $662,500
HI Honolulu (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: Honolulu
$793,750
HI Kahului-Wailuku (Micropolitan Area)
Component County: Maui
$790,000
HI Kapaa (Micropolitan Area)
Component County: Kauai
$773,750
HI Kalawao County $716,250
ID Jackson, WY-ID (Micropolitan Area)
Component County: Teton
$693,750
ID Blaine County $427,500
ID Valley County $462,500
MA Barnstable Town (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: Barnstable
$462,500
MA Boston-Cambridge-Quincy, MA-NH (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties (MA): Essex, Middlesex, Norfolk, Plymouth, Suffolk
$523,750
MA Providence-New Bedford-Fall River, RI-MA (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: Bristol
$475,000
MA Dukes County $729,750
MA Nantucket County $729,750
MD Baltimore-Towson (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties: Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Carroll, Harford, Howard, Queen Anne's
Also Component City: Baltimore
$560,000
MD Easton (Micropolitan Area)
Component County: Talbot
$443,750
MD Ocean Pines (Micropolitan Area)
Component County: Worcester
$437,500
MD Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD (Metropolitan Area)
Component County (MD): Cecil
$420,000
MD Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties (MD): Calvert, Charles, Frederick, Montgomery, Prince George's
$729,750
MD Garrett County $437,500
NC Elizabeth City (Micropolitan Area)
Component Counties: Camden, Pasquotank, Perquimans
$729,750
NC Kill Devil Hills (Micropolitan Area)
Component Counties: Dare
$460,000
NC Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties: Currituck
$428,750
NH Boston-Cambridge-Quincy, MA-NH (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties (NH): Rockingham, Strafford
$523,750
NJ Atlantic City (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties: Atlantic
$453,750
NJ New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-PA (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties (NJ): Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Hunterdon, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Ocean, Passaic,
Somerset, Sussex, Union
$729,750
NJ Ocean City (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties: Cape May
$487,500
NJ Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties (NJ): Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, Salem
$420,000
NJ Trenton-Ewing (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: Mercer
$440,000
NM Santa Fe (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: Santa Fe
$427,500
NV Gardnerville Ranchos (Micropolitan Area)
Component County: Douglas
$468,750
NY New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-PA (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties (NY): Bronx, Kings, Nassua, New York, Putnam, Queens, Richmond, Rockland, Suffolk, Westchester
$729,750
NY Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties: Dutchess, Orange
$443,750
OH Athens (Micropolitan Area)
Component County: Athens
$432,500
OR Bend (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: Deschutes
$447,500
OR Medford (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: Jackson
$422,500
OR Portland-Vancouver-Beaverton, OR-WA (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties (OR): Clackamas, Columbia, Multnomah, Washington, Yamhill
$418,750
PA New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-PA (Metropolitan Area)
Component County (PA): Pike
$729,750
PA Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties (PA): Bucks, Chester, Delaware, Montgomery, Philadelphia
$420,000
PA York-Hanover (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: York
$425,000
RI Providence-New Bedford-Fall River, RI-MA (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties (RI): Bristol, Kent, Newport, Providence, Washington
$475,000
TN Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties: Cannon, Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Hickman, Macon, Robertson, Rutherford, Smith,
Sumner, Trousdale, Williamson, Wilson
$432,500
UT Heber (Micropolitan Area)
Component County: Wasatch
$431,250
UT Salt Lake City (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties (UT): Salt Lake, Summit, Tooele
$729,750
VA Charlottesville (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties: Albemarle, Fluvanna, Greene, Nelson
Component City: Charlottesville
$425,000
VA Richmond (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties: Amelia, Caroline, Charles City, Chesterfield, Cumberland, Dinwiddie, Goochland, Hanover,
Henrico, King and Queen, King William, Louisa, New Kent, Powhatan, Prince George, Sussex
Also Component Cities: Colonial Heights, Hopewell, Petersburg, Richmond
$528,750
VA Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties (VA): Gloucester, Isle of Wight, James City, Mathews, Surry, York
Also Component Cities (VA): Chesapeake, Hampton, Newport News, Norfolk, Poquoson, Portsmouth, Suffolk,
Virginia Beach, Williamsburg
$428,750
VA Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties (VA): Arlington, Clarke, Fairfax, Fauquier, Loudoun, Prince William, Spotslvania, Stafford,
Warren
Also Component Cities (VA): Alexandria, Fairfax, Falls Church, Fredericksburg, Manassas, Mannassas Park
$729,750
VA Winchester, VA-WV (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties (VA): Frederick
Also Component City (VA): Winchester
$475,000
VA Lancaster County $545,000
WA Bremerton-Silverdale (Metropolitan Area)
Component County: Kitsap
$475,000
WA Portland-Vancouver-Beaverton, OR-WA (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties (WA): Clark, Skamania
$418,750
WA Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue (Metropolitan Area)
Component Counties: King, Pierce, Snohomish
$567,500
WA Jefferson County $437,500
WA San Juan County $593,750
WV Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV (Metropolitan Area)
Component County (WV): Jefferson
$729,750
WV Winchester, VA-WV (Metropolitan Area)
Component County (WV): Hampshire
$475,000
WY Jackson, WY-ID (Micropolitan Area)
Component Counties (WY): Teton
$693,750
GU Guam $651,250
MP Northern Islands Municipality
(MP-Marianas Islands)
$605,000
MP Rota Municipality
(MP-Marianas Islands)
$473,750
MP Saipan Municipality
(MP-Marianas Islands)
$610,000
MP Tinian Municipality
(MP-Marianas Islands)
$613,750

Posted by Jeff Kornfeld on March 7th, 2008 11:28 AMPost a Comment (0)

Great Time To Buy
March 4th, 2008 11:47 AM

I thought you might enjoy reading the following article. We all hear the negativity in the news but, with turmoil comes opportunity. In this market you can buy a lot more home for your money. With respects to a mortgage, having a good down payment will make your rate and payment more manageable.

As always, please contact me if I can be of help. 917-974-7525 or jkornfeld@wcslending.com

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NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- It may be the best time to buy a house in more than four years.

Home prices have dropped so quickly and so far that valuations - the difference between what a home should cost and its actual price - are the lowest they've been since 2004, according to a report.

The Cleveland-based bank National City Corp. (NCC, Fortune 500), together with financial analysis firm Global Insight, revealed Tuesday that more than 88% of the 330 housing markets surveyed showed price declines and improved affordability during the last three months of 2007.

"Housing valuations are almost back to long-term norms," said National City's chief economist, Richard DeKaser. He called current affordability "the best in the past four years."

But DeKaser cautioned that home prices could fall even further.

"This isn't to say home price declines are over," he said. "We could move below historic norms. By the end of 2008, housing markets could be broadly under valued."

Prices still improving

There are still 21 housing markets, or 6% of those surveyed, that are severely over valued, including Atlantic City and Madera, Calif. That's down from 56 overvalued markets at the peak of the housing bubble in 2006.

The report compares actual median home prices with what the authors determine are proper home values based on population density, relative income levels and interest rates, as well as historically observed market premiums or discounts, to determine whether markets are over or under valued.

The report also factors in market intangibles that make some areas more desirable places to live, and more expensive.

"Declines are no longer confined to once-frothy markets," said DeKaser.

The survey covered home valuations during the last three months of 2007, but DeKaser pointed out there's reason to believe that valuations are even more favorable for buyers today.

Price declines have continued into 2008 and interest rates, although they have inched up lately, have been steady or lower compared to late last year. There have even been wage gains; personal income rose 0.5% in December. Soaring foreclosure rates have added inventory to many housing markets, depressing home prices further.

The biggest gains in affordability occurred in California, Michigan and Florida, which are areas that have also been some of the hardest hit by foreclosures. Those states registered 43 of the 50 biggest price declines.

Bend, Ore. currently tops the overvaluation list. Home prices there were judged to be about 59% higher than their fair-market value. Miami, despite a median home price decline of 5.7% last year, is the most overvalued big city, by 44%.

All the best bargains were found in Louisiana and Texas. Houses in Houma, La. were under valued by 31.2%, according to the report. Dallas was the most undervalued big city, by 30%. To top of page


Posted by Jeff Kornfeld on March 4th, 2008 11:47 AMPost a Comment (0)

Selling Your home
March 1st, 2008 1:25 PM

If you are having difficulty selling your home these tips might be helpful to you. Click on where it says "play".

http://capitalnews9.com/content/living/111535/home-not-selling-/Default.aspx

As always, please let me know how I can help you refinance your existing home or buy your next home.

 


Posted by Jeff Kornfeld on March 1st, 2008 1:25 PMPost a Comment (0)

Lenders In Trouble
February 28th, 2008 2:14 PM
Since late 2006, 232 lenders have "imploded".  That is a huge number and tens of thousands of people have lost their jobs. As a result, the ones that are in business have revamped their underwriting guidelines considerably to take steps and ensure they will not be added to that list.
I thought you might like to know there are 17 that are currently on a watch list and recognized as being "in trouble". What does this mean to you? If you are buying a home or refinancing then, think long and hard if you need to be at anyone of these lenders. For instance, Washington Mutual (once a great bank) is now at 18 days to underwrite a new application. They have scaled back their staff and can't handle the work load. In addition, they are on the watch list due to financial troubles. Even if you make it through the process, and it will be a long one, there are no guarantees they will be in business to fund (close) the loan. Do you really need that kind of aggravation?
If you already have a loan with them, don't worry. Another lender or servicing company will pick it up if they fail. Your loan will not be "called in".

Ailing/Watch List Lenders:

17. American Equity Mortgage, Inc.
16. CTX Mortgage Company (Retail)
15. Chase Home Equity (Wholesale)
14. First Horizon Home Loans
13. Gateway Funding
12. BankUnited (Wholesale)
11. Casa Blanca Mortgage/Shearson
10. Bear Stearns Mortgage
9. Chevy Chase Bank - Wholesale
8. Washington Mutual
7. IndyMac Bancorp
6. MortgageIT
5. Sallie Mae
4. Meridias Capital
3. Doral Financial Corp.
2. Evergreen Investment+Carnation Bank
1. Residential Capital, LLC*

 

Please contact me if you'd like to get a second opinion. I'll help in any way I can.

Jeff Kornfeld

jkornfeld@wcslending.com

 

 

 


Posted by Jeff Kornfeld on February 28th, 2008 2:14 PMPost a Comment (0)

Economic News
February 26th, 2008 5:07 PM
In a bit of good news, February's Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) that was also released today showed a much larger than expected drop in confidence. The reading of 75.0 was well below the 82.5 that was expected, meaning that consumers are less likely to make large purchases in the near future.

Tomorrow begins the two day Congressional testimony by Fed Chairman Bernanke. He will be speaking to the House Financial Services Committee tomorrow morning and the Senate Banking Committee Thursday. Market participants will be watching his words very closely for any indication of inflation concerns, a possible recession and likelihood of the Fed's next monetary policy move. It will likely create additional volatility in the markets tomorrow morning.

As for economic data tomorrow, we have January's Durable Goods Orders at 8:30 AM ET. This data gives us an important measurement of manufacturing sector strength by tracking orders at U.S. factories for items expected to last three or more years. A larger drop than the 4.0% that is expected would be good news for the bond market and mortgage rates. This data is quite volatile from month to month, so large swings are fairly normal.


Posted by Jeff Kornfeld on February 26th, 2008 5:07 PMPost a Comment (0)

Conforming Loan Limits MIGHT be raised to $625,000
January 27th, 2008 7:10 PM

**PLEASE NOTE MY COMMENTS AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS PAGE**

 

A $150 billion economic stimulus plan being negotiated by the Bush administration and congressional leaders could include a temporary boost in the $417,000 conforming loan limit on mortgages eligible for purchase or guarantee by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

The government-sponsored enterprises, or GSEs, may soon be allowed to back loans up to $625,000 nationwide and $700,000 or more in high-cost areas, according to published reports on the negotiations.

The Associated Press reported that House leaders of both parties have agreed to increase the conforming loan limit to $625,000 for one year, although Senate lawmakers and the Bush administration had not signed off on the idea.

Some Senate Democrats had been pushing for an even larger increase in the conforming loan limit in high-cost areas like California and Florida.

A Treasury Department spokeswoman told Reuters today that the administration still sees an increase in the conforming loan limit as tied to GSE reform.

The Bush administration may be seeking a compromise that would allow the smaller, temporary increase in the conforming loan limit agreed to by House leaders if Senate Democrats agree to move forward with a GSE reform bill.

The House of Representatives passed a GSE reform bill in May, HR 1427, that would create an independent agency to oversee Fannie and Freddie. That bill would permit the companies to guarantee and resell loans of up to $625,000 in high-cost housing markets, but not hold them in their own investment portfolios.

So-called "jumbo" loans that exceed the conforming loan limit have become more expensive and harder to find since August. Wall Street investors have drastically scaled back purchases of securities that had been a primary source of funding for jumbo, alt-A and subprime loans because of fears about rising defaults and falling home prices.

In states like California and Florida, where the median home price in some markets far exceeds the conforming loan limit, the increased cost and reduced availability of jumbo loans has been blamed for worsening the housing downturn.

The National Association of Realtors maintains that raising the conforming loan limit to $625,000 would prevent 140,000 to 210,000 foreclosures, bolster home prices by 2 to 3 percentage points, and increase economic activity by $42 billion (see story).

California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger this week urged Congress to pass legislation to raise the conforming loan limit to $625,000 in high-cost housing markets, saying about half of all home purchases in the state require mortgages that exceed the current limit.

**********************************************************

Please keep in mind this is not a done deal and the bill has not been passed and signed into law. However, if it does, raising the conforming loan limit will allow many people to save close to 1% on their interest rate allowing them to either buy more house or buy it more comfortably.

In my opinion, it will create one of the biggest refinance booms we have seen in a very long time. This will allow many people to get rid of their ARM's and get into a low rate 30 year fixed rate mortgage. Many people who have jumbo mortgages can refinance into conforming rates saving themselves a lot of money per month.

Please visit http://www.jeffkornfeld.com/Home and let me know how I can help you.

 


Posted by Jeff Kornfeld on January 27th, 2008 7:10 PMPost a Comment (0)

Refinance NOW!!!
January 23rd, 2008 11:19 PM

With all that has gone on in the mortgage market this past month, interest rates are at their lowest levels in close to 5 years. This is true for loans of $417,000 or less. These are commonly referred to as "conforming loans".

Loans over $417,001 are called non-conforming or jumbo loans and they too have come down quite a bit.

Depending on your loan scenario, a rate of 5.125% is available for a conforming 30 year fixed without any points!!

If you are facing a reset of your adjustable rate mortgage or, have a rate you want to compare, please contact me at: jkornfeld@wcslending.com or call me at 917-974-7525.

Don't wait..contact me to lock in these great rates before they start to rise.

Thanks,

Jeff


Posted by Jeff Kornfeld on January 23rd, 2008 11:19 PMPost a Comment (0)

Fed Cuts Prime Interest Rate by .75%!!
January 22nd, 2008 2:17 PM

The Federal Reserve took the rare action of slashing short-term interest rates between scheduled meetings in response to a global meltdown in financial markets.

The Fed cut the target for the federal funds rate by a hefty three-quarters of a percentage point, to 3.5 percent. The prime rate will fall by three-quarters of a point, too, to 6.5 percent. Over the coming weeks and months, interest rates will fall on home equity lines of credit and many variable-rate credit cards. Yields on shorter-term certificates of deposit are likely to fall.

It's too soon to say how the Fed rate cut will affect fixed- and adjustable-rate mortgages and auto loans. Those types of loans are only indirectly affected by the rates that the Fed controls. But when the Fed does something unexpected, it can create an impact.

Fed chops rate
3.5%


The Federal Reserve slashed three-quarters of a point off a key interest rate.

"The Committee took this action in view of a weakening of the economic outlook and increasing downside risks to growth," the Fed said in a statement. "While strains in short-term funding markets have eased somewhat, broader financial market conditions have continued to deteriorate and credit has tightened further for some businesses and households. Moreover, incoming information indicates a deepening of the housing contraction as well as some softening in labor markets."

The central bank went on to say that "downside risks to growth remain," and that inflation is expected to moderate over the next few months, although prices merit close watching.

This action comes as stock indexes are plunging across the globe. Stock indexes in Hong Kong, Japan, India and South Korea fell at least 3 percent Monday. British, French and German stock indexes fell at least 5.5 percent. Canadian, Brazilian and Mexican stock indexes fell at least 4.75 percent.

Surprise expected
The move by the Fed's Open Market Committee came as a minor surprise because it occurred between the central bank's regularly scheduled meetings. In the last week, as the dollar continued to weaken, stock prices fell, and more and more economists said a recession is imminent, observers began to speculate that the Fed would cut rates before its next scheduled meeting, on Jan. 29 and Jan. 30.

The vote was not unanimous among the 10-member Federal Open Market Committee that sets rates. Eight members voted for the rate cut. William Poole, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, voted against the cut. The Fed said that Poole "did not believe that current conditions justified policy action before the regularly scheduled meeting next week." Frederic Mishkin, a member of the Fed's board of governors, was absent and did not vote.

The last time the committee made a surprise rate cut was Sept. 17, 2001, six days after the terrorist attacks. Back then, the Fed was reacting to a lack of cash in financial markets. This time, the Fed was responding to anxiety about tight credit brought on by unexpectedly high defaults in some types of mortgages. The problems in the mortgage business spread into other credit markets, affecting the availability of money for private equity firms that borrow huge sums to buy publicly traded companies. Some hedge funds posted gigantic losses because of mortgage-related problems. The pain was felt globally, and not just in the United States.

The federal funds rate is the target interest rate for banks borrowing reserves among themselves. The discount rate is the interest rate that the Fed charges banks to borrow reserves from the Federal Reserve. The Fed wants to be the lender of last resort: It wants banks to borrow from one another at the federal funds rate before borrowing from the Federal Reserve at the lower discount rate.


Posted by Jeff Kornfeld on January 22nd, 2008 2:17 PMPost a Comment (0)

Daily Rate Lock Advisory - January 18th, 2008
January 18th, 2008 11:39 PM

I hope you all find this information useful. While the following gives good insight to the current state of the market, it will not apply to everyone's situation. Please contact me to discuss.

 

 



Friday's bond market has opened in negative territory following mixed economic news and early stock gains. After yesterday's steep sell-off that had the Dow close down over 300 points, stocks have rebounded during morning trading. The Dow is currently up 85 points while the Nasdaq has gained 20 points. The bond market is currently down 9/32, but we will still s ee an improvement in this morning's mortgage rates of approximately .250 of a discount point over yesterday's morning rates. The improvement is a result of strength in bonds late yesterday.

The first of today's two pieces of economic data was December's Leading Economic Indicators (LEI). It showed a decline of 0.2% that was a little larger drop than was expected. This is good news for bonds and mortgage rates because it indicates that the economy may continue to slow in the coming months. That eases inflation concerns and hurts stock prices, which makes bonds more attractive to investors.

The second report was January's preliminary reading to the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment that exceeded forecasts by a wide margin. Today's release revealed a reading of 80.5 compared to forecasts of a 74.5 reading. That means that surveyed consumers were much more optimistic about their own financial situations than many had thought. This is consider ed bad news for bonds because rising levels of confidence usually means that consumers are more apt to make large purchases in near future.

The bond market will close early today and remain closed Monday in observance of the Martin Luther King Holiday. They will reopen for normal hours Tuesday morning. I don't think the early close will particularly affect bond trading or mortgage rates today.

Next week is extremely light in terms of economic releases and events. It appears there is only a single housing related report on the calendar. Look for more details and expectations for next week in Sunday's weekly preview.

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I wou ld do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.

Posted by Jeff Kornfeld on January 18th, 2008 11:39 PMPost a Comment (0)

9 ways to ruin your retirement
October 23rd, 2007 12:22 PM

Blogs don't need to be lengthy to say a lot. I think this short list tells it all.....

9 ways to ruin Your retirement

1) Buy more house then you can afford.

2) Base your projections on today's costs.

3) Raid your 401K or cash it out.

4) Count on Social Security.

5) Believe your benefits will never change.

6) Allow your kids needs to trump yours.

7) Count on your partner's income.

8) Plan to work forever.

9) Don't worry about health issues.

 


Posted by Jeff Kornfeld on October 23rd, 2007 12:22 PMPost a Comment (0)

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